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Indonesia vs. Papua New Guinea

Economy

IndonesiaPapua New Guinea
Economy - overview

Indonesia, the largest economy in Southeast Asia, has seen a slowdown in growth since 2012, mostly due to the end of the commodities export boom. During the global financial crisis, Indonesia outperformed its regional neighbors and joined China and India as the only G20 members posting growth. Indonesia's annual budget deficit is capped at 3% of GDP, and the Government of Indonesia lowered its debt-to-GDP ratio from a peak of 100% shortly after the Asian financial crisis in 1999 to 34% today. In May 2017 Standard & Poor's became the last major ratings agency to upgrade Indonesia's sovereign credit rating to investment grade.

Poverty and unemployment, inadequate infrastructure, corruption, a complex regulatory environment, and unequal resource distribution among its regions are still part of Indonesia's economic landscape. President Joko WIDODO - elected in July 2014 - seeks to develop Indonesia's maritime resources and pursue other infrastructure development, including significantly increasing its electrical power generation capacity. Fuel subsidies were significantly reduced in early 2015, a move which has helped the government redirect its spending to development priorities. Indonesia, with the nine other ASEAN members, will continue to move towards participation in the ASEAN Economic Community, though full implementation of economic integration has not yet materialized.

Papua New Guinea (PNG) is richly endowed with natural resources, but exploitation has been hampered by rugged terrain, land tenure issues, and the high cost of developing infrastructure. The economy has a small formal sector, focused mainly on the export of those natural resources, and an informal sector, employing the majority of the population. Agriculture provides a subsistence livelihood for 85% of the people. The global financial crisis had little impact because of continued foreign demand for PNG's commodities.

Mineral deposits, including copper, gold, and oil, account for nearly two-thirds of export earnings. Natural gas reserves amount to an estimated 155 billion cubic meters. Following construction of a $19 billion liquefied natural gas (LNG) project, PNG LNG, a consortium led by ExxonMobil, began exporting liquefied natural gas to Asian markets in May 2014. The project was delivered on time and only slightly above budget. The success of the project has encouraged other companies to look at similar LNG projects. French supermajor Total is hopes to begin construction on the Papua LNG project by 2020. Due to lower global commodity prices, resource revenues of all types have fallen dramatically. PNG's government has recently been forced to adjust spending levels downward.

Numerous challenges still face the government of Peter O'NEILL, including providing physical security for foreign investors, regaining investor confidence, restoring integrity to state institutions, promoting economic efficiency by privatizing moribund state institutions, and maintaining good relations with Australia, its former colonial ruler. Other socio-cultural challenges could upend the economy including chronic law and order and land tenure issues. In August, 2017, PNG launched its first-ever national trade policy, PNG Trade Policy 2017-2032. The policy goal is to maximize trade and investment by increasing exports, to reduce imports, and to increase foreign direct investment (FDI).

GDP (purchasing power parity)$3,196,682,000,000 (2019 est.)

$3,043,743,000,000 (2018 est.)

$2,894,125,000,000 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
$38.218 billion (2019 est.)

$36.089 billion (2018 est.)

$36.19 billion (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
GDP - real growth rate5.03% (2019 est.)

5.17% (2018 est.)

5.07% (2017 est.)
2.5% (2017 est.)

1.6% (2016 est.)

5.3% (2015 est.)
GDP - per capita (PPP)$11,812 (2019 est.)

$11,372 (2018 est.)

$10,936 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
$4,355 (2019 est.)

$4,193 (2018 est.)

$4,289 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
GDP - composition by sectoragriculture: 13.7% (2017 est.)

industry: 41% (2017 est.)

services: 45.4% (2017 est.)
agriculture: 22.1% (2017 est.)

industry: 42.9% (2017 est.)

services: 35% (2017 est.)
Population below poverty line9.4% (2019 est.)37% (2002 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage sharelowest 10%: 3.4%

highest 10%: 28.2% (2010)
lowest 10%: 1.7%

highest 10%: 40.5% (1996)
Inflation rate (consumer prices)2.8% (2019 est.)

3.2% (2018 est.)

3.8% (2017 est.)
5.4% (2017 est.)

6.7% (2016 est.)
Labor force129.366 million (2019 est.)3.681 million (2017 est.)
Labor force - by occupationagriculture: 32%

industry: 21%

services: 47% (2016 est.)
agriculture: 85%

industry: NA

services: NA
Unemployment rate5.31% (2018 est.)

5.4% (2017 est.)
2.5% (2017 est.)

2.5% (2016 est.)
Distribution of family income - Gini index37.8 (2018 est.)

39.4 (2005)
50.9 (1996)
Budgetrevenues: 131.7 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 159.6 billion (2017 est.)
revenues: 3.638 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 4.591 billion (2017 est.)
Industriespetroleum and natural gas, textiles, automotive, electrical appliances, apparel, footwear, mining, cement, medical instruments and appliances, handicrafts, chemical fertilizers, plywood, rubber, processed food, jewelry, and tourismcopra crushing, palm oil processing, plywood production, wood chip production; mining (gold, silver, copper); crude oil and petroleum products; construction, tourism, livestock (pork, poultry, cattle), dairy products, spice products (turmeric, vanilla, ginger, cardamom, chili, pepper, citronella, and nutmeg), fisheries products
Industrial production growth rate4.1% (2017 est.)3.3% (2017 est.)
Agriculture - productsoil palm fruit, rice, maize, sugar cane, coconuts, cassava, bananas, eggs, poultry, rubberoil palm fruit, bananas, coconuts, fruit, sweet potatoes, game meat, yams, roots/tubers nes, vegetables, taro
Exports$249.628 billion (2019 est.)

$251.827 billion (2018 est.)

$236.354 billion (2017 est.)
$8.522 billion (2017 est.)

$9.224 billion (2016 est.)
Exports - commoditiescoal, palm oil, natural gas, cars, gold (2019)natural gas, gold, copper, lumber, crude petroleum, nickel, palm oil, fish, coffee (2019)
Exports - partnersChina 15%, United States 10%, Japan 9%, Singapore 8%, India 7%, Malaysia 5% (2019)Australia 26%, China 26%, Japan 22%, Taiwan 7% (2019)
Imports$223.44 billion (2019 est.)

$242.046 billion (2018 est.)

$216.342 billion (2017 est.)
$1.876 billion (2017 est.)

$2.077 billion (2016 est.)
Imports - commoditiesrefined petroleum, crude petroleum, vehicle parts, telephones, natural gas (2019)refined petroleum, excavation machinery, crude petroleum, foodstuffs, delivery trucks (2019)
Imports - partnersChina 27%, Singapore 12%, Japan 8%, Thailand 5%, United States 5%, South Korea 5%, Malaysia 5% (2019)Australia 33%, China 19%, Singapore 14%, Malaysia 9% (2019)
Debt - external$393.252 billion (2019 est.)

$360.945 billion (2018 est.)
$17.94 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$18.28 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
Exchange ratesIndonesian rupiah (IDR) per US dollar -

14,110 (2020 est.)

14,015 (2019 est.)

14,470 (2018 est.)

13,389.4 (2014 est.)

11,865.2 (2013 est.)
kina (PGK) per US dollar -

3.5131 (2020 est.)

3.4042 (2019 est.)

3.36915 (2018 est.)

2.7684 (2014 est.)

2.4614 (2013 est.)
Fiscal yearcalendar yearcalendar year
Public debt28.8% of GDP (2017 est.)

28.3% of GDP (2016 est.)
36.9% of GDP (2017 est.)

36.9% of GDP (2016 est.)
Reserves of foreign exchange and gold$130.2 billion (31 December 2017 est.)$1.735 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$1.656 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
Current Account Balance-$30.359 billion (2019 est.)

-$30.633 billion (2018 est.)
$4.859 billion (2017 est.)

$4.569 billion (2016 est.)
GDP (official exchange rate)$1,119,720,000,000 (2019 est.)$19.82 billion (2017 est.)
Credit ratingsFitch rating: BBB (2017)

Moody's rating: Baa2 (2018)

Standard & Poors rating: BBB (2019)
Moody's rating: B2 (2016)

Standard & Poors rating: B- (2020)
Ease of Doing Business Index scoresOverall score: 69.6 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 81.2 (2020)

Trading score: 67.5 (2020)

Enforcement score: 49.1 (2020)
Overall score: 59.8 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 80.1 (2020)

Trading score: 65.8 (2020)

Enforcement score: 36.2 (2020)
Taxes and other revenues13% (of GDP) (2017 est.)18.4% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Budget surplus (+) or deficit (-)-2.7% (of GDP) (2017 est.)-4.8% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Unemployment, youth ages 15-24total: 13.5%

male: 13.8%

female: 13.2% (2019 est.)
total: 3.6%

male: 4.3%

female: 3% (2010 est.)
GDP - composition, by end usehousehold consumption: 57.3% (2017 est.)

government consumption: 9.1% (2017 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 32.1% (2017 est.)

investment in inventories: 0.3% (2017 est.)

exports of goods and services: 20.4% (2017 est.)

imports of goods and services: -19.2% (2017 est.)
household consumption: 43.7% (2017 est.)

government consumption: 19.7% (2017 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 10% (2017 est.)

investment in inventories: 0.4% (2017 est.)

exports of goods and services: 49.3% (2017 est.)

imports of goods and services: -22.3% (2017 est.)
Gross national saving31% of GDP (2019 est.)

31.8% of GDP (2018 est.)

30.9% of GDP (2017 est.)
36.8% of GDP (2017 est.)

38% of GDP (2016 est.)

33.7% of GDP (2015 est.)

Source: CIA Factbook